U.S. intelligence currently has no indication an Iranian attack on Israel is imminent, an American source told Axios reporter Barak Ravid, who shared the assessment on X at https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/2002911602513998331 during the 59-minute period ending 1:46 AM UTC on December 22, 2025, amid Israeli warnings to the Trump administration over an IRGC missile exercise. Ravid's post referenced his Axios article at https://www.axios.com/2025/12/21/israel-iran-missile-drill-trump-warning, detailing Israel's weekend warning to a Trump administration counterpart that the IRGC exercise could prepare a surprise strike, as first reported by Axios late on December 21. This U.S. assessment follows Israeli officials' growing concerns over Iran's missile program rebuilding, cited in Axios and NBC reports shared by Faytuks on X over the prior hour, and analyst Jason M. Brodsky's statement doubting a preemptive Iranian attack due to U.S. readiness under President Trump and Iran's domestic weaknesses.
