Typhoon Ragasa is tracking towards Zhanjiang, with ensemble models indicating a high probability of landfall west of the Pearl River Delta. The northern quadrant of the storm is expected to bring the most damaging winds ashore west of Hong Kong, depending on the precise angle of approach, according to Fans of Storms. This forecast emerged during the three-hour reporting window from 1:05 AM UTC to 4:05 AM UTC on September 23rd, 2025. The storm's trajectory suggests a significant impact on coastal areas in southern China. Fans of Storms, a meteorological tracking group, provided the analysis via a social media update during this period, highlighting the potential severity of wind impacts on regions west of Hong Kong.