Hurricane Melissa is forecast to rapidly intensify into a Category 4 or higher storm, bringing major hurricane-force winds, several feet of rainfall, storm surge, and landslides to Jamaica and southwestern Haiti. The forecast discussion, originating from meteorologists monitoring the storm, indicates a grim outlook with no apparent silver lining. The National Hurricane Center's (NHC) 11 PM update specifically highlights the suboptimal forecast for Jamaica, predicting three days of major hurricane impacts. The period covered by this report, October 24th, 2025, 1:02:40 AM to 4:02:40 AM UTC, falls within this critical forecasting window. Spaghetti models for Hurricane Melissa, including consensus guidance from Google Deep Mind and HCCA, suggest a track that would bring significant impacts to the western side of the storm's potential path. Meteorologists anticipate that the NHC track will adjust based on this modeling data. These developments follow concerns raised yesterday about unusually warm waters in the Caribbean Sea, which meteorologists stated could provide "endless fuel" for tropical systems and contribute to storm intensification and prolonged stationary periods.
