Meteorologist MikeT Fox5 shared the last three NAM model runs, including the new 18z run, indicating ongoing winter storm tracking in the past 59 minutes from 8:16 PM to 9:15 PM UTC on February 20, 2026, according to his X post at https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/2024944935066099744. This update follows the National Weather Service's Winter Storm Watch issued earlier in the evening for the Tri-State area from Sunday 6am through Monday 6am, forecasting 6-12+ inches of snowfall and winds gusting 30-50 mph, as reported by YWNReporter on X during the prior reporting window ending 8:16 PM UTC. The NAM runs provide additional model data amid heightened storm threat assessments. Previous NWS elevation of winter storm threat to "Elevated" for Washington, DC, the Northeast, and East Coast noted 50-80% chances of 5+ inches of snow, with 80%+ probabilities for the Eastern Shore and New Jersey, per MikeT Fox5's earlier post in the window ending 7:16 PM UTC.