Poland announced the restoration of border traffic with Belarus on September 26th, following an earlier urgent advisory for its citizens to leave Belarus due to rising tensions and arbitrary arrests. The Polish embassy in Minsk confirmed the restoration of border crossings, though specific timing was not immediately detailed. Earlier on September 26th, Poland had urged citizens to leave Belarus "by any available means," citing military events and the risk of border closures. This advisory was issued around 6:05 AM UTC, according to [@PutinPulse](https://twitter.com/PutinPulse). The situation underscores a period of heightened regional instability. This period also saw a fuel train collide with a truck at a level crossing in Russia's Smolensk region, resulting in a large fire. Videos of the blaze were shared by [@front_ukrainian](https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian) and [@Tendar](https://twitter.com/Tendar) on September 26th. The collision occurred around the same time as Poland's initial travel warning. In related energy market news, President Donald Trump stated that Hungary, being landlocked, cannot purchase oil from anyone but Russia, as relayed by [@front_ukrainian](https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian) on September 26th. Separately, the U.S. is set to impose sanctions from October 1st on Serbia's Russian-owned oil company NIS, which operates the country's only oil refinery, according to Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic on September 25th. These developments occur amidst an analysis suggesting Russian manpower is a myth and its military operations are diminishing, with a year remaining for significant assault operations before becoming a "decaying military." The analysis, shared on September 26th, also predicts Russia will engage in disinformation campaigns, overseas recruitment, and political blackmail. The author asserts that the path to Ukrainian victory is clearer than ever and calls for tightened sanctions and increased aid to Ukraine.
