Power outages were reported in Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia on October 1st, 2025, following a flash, with air raid alerts issued for multiple Ukrainian regions including Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Sumy, and Chernihiv, indicating drone activity. Concurrently, a Russian outlet reported that 38% of Russia's federal oil refining capacity has been halted, resulting in a significant decrease in gasoline production and a shortage of approximately 400,000 tons per day. During the reporting window, which concluded at 5:06 PM UTC, air alerts specified the presence of multiple Shahed drones across the Kyiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, and Kharkiv regions. The Dnipropetrovsk region also experienced power disruptions after a flash, as confirmed by local reports. The Russian outlet RBK stated that the halt in refining capacity has led to a 1 million ton decrease in gasoline production, with repair and re-equipment of damaged refineries potentially taking months or years. The current shortage is estimated at 20%, or about 400,000 tons daily. In a related development, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) assessed on September 30th that Russia may be setting information conditions to blame Ukraine for potential sabotage or drone incursions against Polish critical infrastructure. Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) baselessly accused Ukraine on September 30th of preparing false flag attacks to implicate Russia and Belarus. ISW noted similar Russian accusations made on September 26th regarding drone attacks against Poland and Romania. The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant remains at risk due to a blackout, with backup diesel generators having only 10 days of fuel remaining, as warned by the IAEA. The IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi previously stated that a complete failure of backup systems would pose a direct risk of nuclear fuel meltdown. Simultaneously, fuel rationing has been tightened in occupied Crimea, with the per-sale limit for gasoline reduced to 20 liters, according to Governor Aksyonov, who cited insufficient measures to ease the situation. Approximately 40% of Russian refinery capacity is offline, with 70% of that downtime linked to Ukrainian Armed Forces attacks. Earlier in the day, an Antonov An-124 heavy cargo aircraft landed at Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion Airport, three days after Ukrainian President Zelensky confirmed Israel had supplied multiple PATRIOT air defense systems. Monitoring resources also indicated two "chewing drones" were sighted near the border of Rivne and Volyn regions, heading towards Poland, during a previous reporting window. Air alerts were also issued for Sumy, with eight drones reported over Konotop, and for the Chernihiv region, where three drones were circling near Borzna. Ukroboronprom announced specifications for the Neptune 'D' cruise missile and Liutyi strike drone on October 1st, 2025. The Neptune is capable of carrying a 260 kg warhead and reaching up to 1,000 km, while the Liutyi has a range of 1,300 km. Reports also detailed Russian sabotage operations in Europe, linking Russia to 110 sabotage and criminal operations since 2022. Concerns have also been raised about air defense effectiveness in the Chernihiv region, with fewer drones being intercepted there compared to the Sumy region.
